"We are not out of the woods yet, and I believe some investors remain very cautious," said Eric Sterner, chief investment officer at Apollon Wealth Management.
The broad-based S&P 500 index has roared 16% higher this year, propped up by Wall Street's infatuation with artificial intelligence that's driven a powerful rally in tech stocks.
Signs of persistent inflation and a still sizzling labor market in recent months have worried investors that the Federal Reserve has more room to raise interest rates, which could pinch the economy and financial markets. Stocks notched their second monthly decline this year in August and are negative for September.
While the Fed's policy meeting is taking place next week, there's a laundry list of factors stoking uncertainty in the market. Student loan repayments are set to restart next month, which could eat into the resilient consumer spending that has helped keep the economy strong through the Fed's rate hikes.
Fears of a potential government shutdown and elevated yields keeping a lid on stocks are also points of concerns for stock investors, says Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors.
"This is a seasonally difficult time for markets after what's been a very sanguine start to the year," said Arone.
September has historically been the worst month for stocks, and it could live up to its reputation this year. The S&P 500 has fallen about 0.9% in September, weighed down by a spike in oil prices and rising yields.
Bullish sentiment among individual investors, or the expectation that stock prices will climb over the next six months, rose to 42.2% last week, according to the latest American Association of Individual Investors Sentiment Survey. That marks the first time the measure has risen above its historical average in four weeks.
But some consider investor sentiment readings as contrarian indicators. Bearish sentiment touched a high of 70.3% in March 2009, right as the bear market at the time bottomed, according to AAII.
Comments
Post a Comment