What. Just. Happened.
If you weren't watching Wall Street today, allow us to catch you up while we also catch our breath.
For no obvious reason, the S&P 500, the broadest measure of the stock market, abruptly tumbled Wednesday afternoon, starting just after 2 pm ET. It had been on pace to hit a record — its first in nearly two years, my colleague David Goldman writes.
Within minutes, the index was down half a percentage point. Within an hour, it had fallen more than 1%, and it ended the day down nearly 1.5%.
The Dow, which had been up nearly 100 points, ended the day almost 500 points lower.
The VIX volatility index spiked more than 7% Wednesday before falling back somewhat. CNN's Fear and Greed Index, which was firmly in "Extreme Greed" territory to start the day, fell back into the "Greed" zone by end the day.
Don't panic.
As Dave explains, this kind of volatility isn't unusual in the last few weeks of the year. Traders are mostly on vacation, or getting ready to be. That ultra-low trading volume often leads to so-called Santa Claus rallies, in which markets surge at the end of the year when fewer people are paying close attention.
Despite the selloff, there was "nothing really new from a narrative perspective as things continue to slow into the holidays and year-end," FactSet said in a note to traders. There was "no clear spark for today's drop."
Low trading volume can also mean high volatility.
If you're a trader who's been riding the recent Santa rally, you might be inclined to take those recent gains, stuff them in your pockets and jump and head on up to Greenwich for the holiday.
There's plenty of precedent for this.
- December 15, 2022: The Dow plunged 765 points for no real reason at all. Some market analysts cited "recession fears," which ended up unfounded.
- December 30, 2019: The Dow sank 200 points. CNN Business' story at the time noted the day was "relatively devoid of news."
- But the mother of all end-of-year market chaos moments happened in a 10-day stretch to end 2018, when the Dow sank 4,000 points before staging one of the best days on record — a 1,086-point gain — before a roller coaster day the next trading day, which nearly wiped out all those gains.
So as we wind down 2023, here's a tip for all of us, investors and non-investors alike: Take a deep breath. It wouldn't be the holiday season without some bumps in the road.
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